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In response to the economic slowdown that has occurred and due to the current credit crisis, the Fed lowered the discount rate and Fed Funds rate by 0.5% on September 18, 2007 and again by another 0.25% on October 31, 2007. Does this mean that more rate cuts are on the way or should we expect that the Fed will sit tight now that they have taken some action?
This largely depends on whether inflation remains under control.
You see, as the Fed lowers the Fed Funds Rate, the business and consumer-based interest rates of LIBOR and Prime will also go down as illustrated above. The Fed would be reluctant to continue lowering rates if they feel that businesses and consumers would start borrowing and spending so much money that inflation will go up significantly.
Remember, the Fed's main goal is to "maintain monetary stability" by keeping a close eye on the flow of funds in the US economy. It would be reckless of them to artificially encourage too much borrowing and spending as this would only artificially drive up asset prices and cause money to lose its purchasing power. This phenomenon is known as "inflation." The good news, however, is that inflation seems to be under control based on some of the latest economic reports.
How does the Fed affect mortgage rates?
Well, if you have a home equity line of credit based on Prime or short term ARMs based on LIBOR, you should see an immediate reduction in your interest rate in the coming weeks. However, if you are considering a fixed rate loan or longer term ARM with a fixed period of 3, 5, 7 or 10 years, rates on those types of loans are not directly related to the Fed. Instead, these rates are closely tied to the Mortgage Backed Securities that trade on the bond market. For more on how this process works, please reference the article entitled, Saga of the US Mortgage Industry.
With all this in mind, it is more important than ever to work with an experienced, trustworthy Mortgage Company that can decipher market conditions and help you make informed decisions in today's volatile market. Whether you have or are considering an ARM or a fixed rate loan; whether you are buying, selling or refinancing a home; whether you are dealing with a primary, vacation or investment property; now is the time to be dealing with an expert.
We are committed, qualified and equipped to help you navigate today's turbulent mortgage marketplace. Don't delay in implementing the mortgage and real estate equity planning strategies that will make a positive impact in your life and the lives of your loved ones! |